How an assessor could investigate evidence of acceleration from the automation of AI R&D

This article discusses how an assessor could study whether capabilities progress could accelerate dramatically due to AI-driven acceleration of AI R&D. Such an assessment would answer: Capabilities Progress : How fast are internal capabilities improving, and how much has this progress accelerated recently? Acceleration from AI : If there is an acceleration, how much was it driven by AI automation versus other factors? Bottlenecks to Future Growth : Are there important bottlenecks that could slow growth or limit acceleration in the near term? Limitations : Would these methods reliably identify